Saturday, May 20, 2017

Clueless

I think the woman on the left may be grandma - and possibly aunt Kelly in the middle with the glasses.  But that's just a WAG.  It could be grandma with her brothers and sisters - but I don't know how many she actually had.

The men in the 2nd photo must be some relation on mom's side, but not the faintest idea who they are.

These were scanned in from old negatives, palate inverted, then brightness and contrast adjusted to get something viewable.



More old photos

Impossible to say if that's Blanche or Tudy with (I assume) their dad - George Hammond.

Love the glasses on that state ID photo.  Surprised it took her 4 months after her 18th birthday to get an ID.


Thursday, May 18, 2017

Thursday, April 20, 2017

Wednesday, February 8, 2017

Means and mean error

Three sets of synthetic data:

Set L is a linear function increasing in value with each year.  Set R is a random normal distribution, and Set S is a sine function.  Do they RMSEs in and of themselves tell us anything about these functions? No.  Only by looking at the actual data would we be able to see this.



Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Someone forgot to tell the arctic to wait for Karl to bust the pause.



I was going to add text and arrow for "Curry jumps shark" but there would have been too many arrows and the graph too cluttered.

Saturday, February 4, 2017

Annual FDDs per DMI N80

Annual Total Accumulated Freezing Degree Days
(August 1st thru May 31st)

Does not include this freezing season as it is not yet complete.

So, what's happening during the summer months of June & July?


Odd, melt season temperatures are actually *decreasing* - now why would that be?




Thursday, February 2, 2017

N80 Freezing Degree Days thru Feb 2, 2017

Freezing Degree Days thru Feb 2, 2017
(Climatology = 1958 to 2002)

Accumulated FDDs 
Climatology: 3095.9
2016-7:          1833.0
Anomaly:     -1262.9


Implied new ice thickness to date:
Per Lebedev:
Climo:   1.755 m
2016-7:  1.288 m

Per Bilello:
Climo:   1.408 m
2016-7:  1.039 m

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Accumulated Freezing Degree Days N80 thru Jan 26, 2017

Accumulated Freezing Degree Days N80 thru Jan 26, 2017:
Climatology: 2899.4
2016:            1683.9
Anomaly:     -1215.4



Implied new ice thickness to date:
Per Lebedev:
Climo: 1.688 m
2016:   1.225 m

Per Billelo
Climo:  1.355 m
2016:    0.989 m


Note: Anyone claiming a "recovery" in extent is ignoring new ice thickness this year is 27% less than climatology and 10 to 15% less than the average of the past decade.  The accumulated FDD anomaly is now greater than at *any* time in the DMI N80 dataset with 40% of the freezing season still to go.